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CBSE Sample Paper 2024-25 · Section A · 1 mark

Q8: P(Aˉ/Bˉ)P(\bar A/\bar B) from P(Aˉ)P(\bar A)⁠, P(Bˉ)P(\bar B) and P(A∩B)P(A \cap B)

Sample 2024-25Ch 13 · Probability
The question

For any two events AA and BB⁠, if P(Aˉ)=12P(\bar A) = \frac{1}{2}⁠, P(Bˉ)=23P(\bar B) = \frac{2}{3} and P(A∩B)=14P(A \cap B) = \frac{1}{4}⁠, then P(Aˉ/Bˉ)P(\bar A/\bar B) equals:

(A) 38\frac{3}{8}

(B) 89\frac{8}{9}

(C) 58\frac{5}{8}

(D) 14\frac{1}{4}

Exam answer

P(A)=1−12=12P(A) = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \frac{1}{2} and P(B)=1−23=13P(B) = 1 - \frac{2}{3} = \frac{1}{3}⁠.

Why?

An event and its complement have probabilities that add to 1:

P(A)=1−P(Aˉ)P(A) = 1 - P(\bar A) P(A)=1−12=22−12=12P(B)=1−23=33−23=13\begin{aligned} P(A) &= 1 - \frac12 = \frac22 - \frac12 = \frac12 \\[4pt] P(B) &= 1 - \frac23 = \frac33 - \frac23 = \frac13 \end{aligned}
P(A∪B)=12+13−14=6+4−312=712\begin{aligned} P(A \cup B) &= \frac{1}{2} + \frac{1}{3} - \frac{1}{4} \\ &= \frac{6 + 4 - 3}{12} \\ &= \frac{7}{12} \end{aligned}
Why?

The addition rule:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)\begin{aligned} P(A \cup B) &= P(A) + P(B) \\ &\quad - P(A \cap B) \end{aligned}

The common denominator is 12: 12=612\frac12 = \frac{6}{12}⁠, 13=412\frac13 = \frac{4}{12} and 14=312\frac14 = \frac{3}{12}⁠.

612+412−312=6+4−312=10−312=712\begin{aligned} &\frac{6}{12} + \frac{4}{12} - \frac{3}{12} \\ &= \frac{6 + 4 - 3}{12} \\ &= \frac{10 - 3}{12} = \frac{7}{12} \end{aligned}
P(Aˉ/Bˉ)=P(Aˉ∩Bˉ)P(Bˉ)=1−P(A∪B)P(Bˉ)=1−71223=512×32=58\begin{aligned} P(\bar A/\bar B) &= \frac{P(\bar A \cap \bar B)}{P(\bar B)} \\ &= \frac{1 - P(A \cup B)}{P(\bar B)} \\ &= \frac{1 - \frac{7}{12}}{\frac{2}{3}} \\ &= \frac{5}{12} \times \frac{3}{2} = \frac{5}{8} \end{aligned}
Why?

Conditional probability: P(E/F)P(E/F) is P(E∩F)P(E \cap F) divided by P(F)P(F)⁠.

"Not AA and not BB" is the complement of "AA or BB" (De Morgan's law), so

P(Aˉ∩Bˉ)=1−P(A∪B)P(\bar A \cap \bar B) = 1 - P(A \cup B)

Divide by the given P(Bˉ)=23P(\bar B) = \frac{2}{3}⁠, not by P(B)P(B)⁠. Dividing by 23\frac23 is multiplying by 32\frac32⁠.

1−712=1212−712=512512×32=5×312×2=1524=15÷324÷3=58\begin{aligned} 1 - \frac{7}{12} &= \frac{12}{12} - \frac{7}{12} = \frac{5}{12} \\[4pt] \frac{5}{12} \times \frac{3}{2} &= \frac{5 \times 3}{12 \times 2} = \frac{15}{24} \\ &= \frac{15 \div 3}{24 \div 3} = \frac{5}{8} \end{aligned}

Answer: (C) 58\dfrac{5}{8}

Where this comes from

Chapter 13, Probability: Conditional probability with complements.

Question type: Given numbers

How to spot it: click to see

Type 1. Given numbers: divide by the event after the bar

Spot it: the question gives P(E)P(E)⁠, P(F)P(F) and P(E∩F)P(E\cap F)⁠, and asks for P(E∣F)P(E|F) or P(F∣E)P(F|E)⁠.

Here: The numbers are given, and Bˉ\bar B is after the bar, so divide by P(Bˉ)=23P(\bar B) = \frac23⁠. The top, P(Aˉ∩Bˉ)P(\bar A \cap \bar B)⁠, is 1−P(A∪B)=5121 - P(A \cup B) = \frac{5}{12} from the addition rule.

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